Oscars 2018 Predictions From People Who Know What They're Talking About

Get your Oscars ballots ready, because the official 2018 Academy Awards nominations were announced earlier this morning by Andy Serkis and Tiffany Haddish. Over the past few months, a slew of moving, marvelous, and — most importantly for this conversation — critically acclaimed movies came out. You can practically see them flexing for the Academy, as if to say: "Pick me!"

Now, we know which caught the attention of the approximately 6,000 voting members of the Academy. The real homework of watching every Oscar-nominated movie has officially begun. You'll have until March 4, the day of the Oscars, to catch up.

Here are the official nominees for the 2018 Academy Awards, along with our predictions for winners.

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Foreign Language Film

On Body and Soul
The Insult
The Square
A Fantastic Woman

Predicted Winner: A Fantastic Woman. In this moving Chilean movie, a woman's lover abruptly dies, and his family shuts her out because she's trans. The movie showcases Daniela Vega as a talent to watch.
Frenesy Film Co/Sony/Kobal/REX/Shutterstock
Best Picture

Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Predicted Winner: The Shape of Water, and we wrote a whole article explaining why. While Three Billboards won the Golden Globe for Best Picture, we predict that The Shape of Water will sweep the Oscars. For one, Three Billboards has been knocked off its pedestal by nuanced conversation about the movie's handling of race. The Shape of Water discusses racism and misogyny, but in an allegorical, less clumsy way.
Best Actress

Meryl Streep (The Post)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)

Predicted Winner: Frances McDormand. Even if we don't think Three Billboards will win Best Picture, McDormand gave an incendiary performance as the grieving mother Mildred Hayes, who felt compelled to throw a molotov cocktail through the police station windows.
Best Actor

Gary Oldman (The Darkest Hour)
Daniel Day-Lewis (The Phantom Thread)
Timothée Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.)

Predicted Winner: Gary Oldman, but we want Timothée Chalamet to win. Oldman is a documented abuser who has been forgiven by Academy voters, as so many documented abusers are. Chalamet, on the other hand is a delight.
Best Director

Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)
Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread)
Jordan Peele (Get Out)

Predicted Winner: Jordan Peele. Get Out was the first film of its kind – a socially conscious horror movie. Get Out sparked conversations, as well as sparked us out of our seats with jolts of fear. He deftly balanced humor, horror, and deep thoughts.
Best Supporting Actress

Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)
Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Lesley Manville (The Phantom Thread)

Predicted Winner: Allison Janney. I, Tonya was mostly shut out of the Oscars, but Janney's memorable performance of Lavona Harding, Tonya Harding's mother, was recognized — and rightfully. Move over, pirates. Lavona is the new antihero with a parrot on her shoulder.
Best Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World)
Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Prediction Winner: In a perfect world, Jenkins will win for his work as Elisa's best friend in The Shape of Water. But Rockwell has a good track record for his Three Billboards performance, and likely, he'll win.
Best Original Screenplay

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Big Sick
The Shape of Water

Predicted Winner: Lady Bird. Greta Gerwig's script captured the cadence of real, accurate speech between yearning daughters and tired, embittered mothers.
Best Adapted Screenplay

Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Molly's Game

Predicted Winner: We're going with Dee Rees' incredibly affecting, searing Mudbound for this. Mudbound is based on a book of the same title. Like the book, the movie is narrated by six different characters. Together, their voices build toward a devastating climax.
Best Animated Feature

The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Loving Vincent

Predicted Winner: Coco, the Pixar movie about a young Mexican boy who ventures to the Underworld on the Day of the Dead in order to lift a family curse that bans music. If you haven't seen it yet, do so immediately. Like the best Pixar movies, Coco will make you happy-cry because it's so funny and profound all at once.
L Sparham/Focus Features/Kobal/REX/Shutterstock
Best Costume Design

Phantom Thread
Darkest Hour
Beauty and the Beast
The Shape of Water
Victoria & Abdul

Predicted Winner: Phantom Thread. This is a movie about the creation of exquisite clothing, so naturally the costumes are exceptional.
Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Victoria & Abdul
The Shape of Water

Predicted Winner: Have you seen that Fish Man? We're going all in for The Shape of Water.
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