Who Will Win The 2019 Emmys? Predictions Sharper Than Any Three-Eyed Raven Vision

It is officially time for your 2019 Emmy predictions

After all, some of your all-time favorite shows are in the running this year. Killing Eve, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, Dirty John, and Sharp Objects will all be competing come Emmys night on Sunday, September 22. However, above all those beloved comedies and dramas looms one Goalith of a series: Game. Of. Thrones

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The 2019 Emmys marks Thrones’ official television farewell party. Now that the game-changing drama has wrapped, all it has left to do is defend its whopping 32 Emmy nominations. Then it’s goodbye forever to Westeros (at least until the prequel premieres).  

So does that mean HBO’s juggernaut is bound to win every award at the Emmys? Or could another scrappy series take them down? We made a full guide to all our Emmy predictions to answer that question — and figure out who will nab statues in the comedy, limited series, and variety categories. 

Keep reading to learn who’s definitely going to win, who could upset some tricky races, and which overlooked performances we would have loved to see in the race. Get ready to look like the smartest person at your Emmy party. 

Outstanding Drama Series 


Nominees: Better Call Saul; Bodyguard; Game of Thrones; Killing Eve; Ozark; Pose; Succession; This Is Us.
 
Who will probably win: Game of Thrones

Unlike the Night King’s posse, Thrones is actually unstoppable this year. Yes, even after that disappointing finale. Because a goodbye to Thrones is bigger than a few lackluster episodes — it’s letting go of the series that proved television could go bigger than blockbuster movies and still rake in millions upon millions of audience members. In this economy

So don’t even try to bet against it.  

Upset: Pose

Overlooked: Imagine a world where You, the series that proved a flailing cable show could become a bona fide viral smash hit just by transferring to Netflix, got nominated for Best Drama. 



Outstanding Comedy Series 


Nominees: Barry; Fleabag; The Good Place; The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel; Russian Doll; Schitt's Creek; Veep

Who will probably win: Veep

Veep defined HBO comedy for the last 10 years — and now it’s over. There is no way the Emmys won’t give the critical favorite, which won Outstanding Comedy for three straight years from 2016 to 2018, a statue-heavy sendoff befitting a queen. 

Upset: Fleabag or The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Overlooked: Someone please give Superstore — light-touch discussion of postpartum employment, unions, and immigration — the respect it deserves. Also, Ramy. And Sex Education. Or Sally4Ever. Don’t forget The Other Two. The list goes on. 

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Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

 

Nominees: Jodie Comer in Killing Eve; Viola Davis in How to Get Away with Murder; Emilia Clarke in Game of Thrones; Laura Linney in Ozark; Mandy Moore in This Is Us; Sandra Oh in Killing Eve; Robin Wright in House of Cards.

Who will probably win: Emilia Clarke. 

Game of Thrones is coming into the Emmys on a sure-fire victory march. We should plan to see that goodwill extend to leading lady Emilia Clarke, the woman who was the foundation of the HBO mega hit’s final run — and gave its biggest, most tragic performance

You can’t talk about Thrones’ last season without talking about Emilia Clarke. 

Upset: Sandra Oh. 

Overlooked: MJ Rodriguez in Pose

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series


Nominees: Christina Appelgate in Dead to Me; Rachel Brosnahan in The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel; Julia Louis-Dreyfus in Veep; Natasha Lyonne in Russian Doll; Catherine O'Hara in Schitt's Creek; Phoebe Waller-Bridge in Fleabag.

Who will probably win: The forever iconic JLD. 

Julia Louis-Dreyfus has lost this award before. However, that has never happened when she was in the Emmys running for her portrayal of Veep’s cutthroat and caustic politician Selina Meyer. With this season marking Louis-Dreyfus’ final turn as Selina, we shouldn’t expect anything to change.  

Upset: The ascendantly iconic PWB. 

Overlooked: Aya Cash in You’re the Worst. Mishel Prada in Vida. Justina Machado in One Day at a Time

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

 

Nominees: Jason Bateman in Ozark; Sterling K. Brown in This Is Us; Kit Harington in Game of Thrones; Bob Odenkirk in Better Call Saul; Billy Porter in Pose; Milo Ventimiglia in This Is Us.

Who will probably win: Kit Harington.

When it comes to this award, Emmy voters love celebrating a job well done on a final season of a touchstone series. Over the last decade, Matthew Rhys, Jon Hamm, and Bryan Cranston all won their Lead Actor statues for anchoring their respective shows until the bitter end. 

Game of Thrones not only dominates the television era, but 21st century TV as we know it. It’s more than likely the Emmys will congratulate the drama’s leading male figure, Kit Harington and his brooding Jon Snow, for closing out television’s most important show. 

Upset: Billy Porter. 

Overlooked: Richard Madden, Richard Madden, and Richard “Ma’am” Madden

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

 

Nominees: Ted Danson in The Good Place; Michael Douglas in The Kominsky Method; Bill Hader in Barry; Eugene Levy in Schitt's Creek; Anthony Anderson in Black-ish.

Who will probably win: Bill Hader. 

This is an award that ends up going to an actor repeatedly when they’ve hit their comedy stride. Alec Baldwin won it back-to-back in the late aughts during 30 Rock’s golden years. Jim Parsons’ took it home four out of five years over the first half of the decade. 

Now it looks like the fates have smiled upon Barry mastermind Bill Hader, who won Lead Actor in a Comedy last year. In Barry season 2, Hader found countless new layers to his hitman character — and to much public fanfare. Hader deserves the award for fighting through “Ronny/Lily,” which he also directed and directed, alone. 

Upset: Ted Danson. 

Overlooked: Ramy Youssef in the titular role of Ramy

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series 


Nominees: Gwendoline Christie in Game of Thrones; Sophie Turner in Game of Thrones; Fiona Shaw in Killing Eve; Lena Headey in Game of Thrones; Maisie Williams in Game of Thrones; Julia Garner, Ozark

Who will probably win: Lena Headey.

This category is especially painful for Game of Thrones fans, as four of the six women nominated hail from Westeros. That means, no matter what, one of your faves is likely bound to lose. While viewers may be desperate to see Maisie Williams win — she killed the Night King! — there is some history to take into account. 

Over the last century, two different women from the same series have only ever won this award once. And that was when acting icon and Stockard Channing took home the prize for her work on The West Wing after co-star Allison Janney did two years in a row. Notably, that’s the award going from one actress to a more experienced one. And, the Emmys do love tradition and veteran actors (Maggie Smith, Ann Down, and Margo Martindale all won this decade). 

It’s difficult to imagine them going with the much younger Williams over Lena Headey, who has been nominated four previous times for the role. 

Upset: Maisie Williams. 

Overlooked: Sophie Turner, who brought to life one of the very best arcs in Game of Thrones history. 

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Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series


Nominees: Amy Chlumsky in Veep; Marin Hinkle in The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel; Kate McKinnon in Saturday Night Live; Olivia Colman in Fleabag; Sarah Goldberg in Barry; Sian Clifford in Fleabag; Betty Gilpin in GLOW; Alex Borstein in The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel.

Who will probably win:  Alex Borstein. 

This award tends to go in a back-to-back cycle. Alison Janney, Julie Bowen, and Kate McKinnon all won this statue for two years in a row before a new Chosen One was anointed. Since Alex Borstein won last year, it appears this is her time to stand in the Emmys sun. 

Upset: Olivia Colman, reigning Best Actress Oscar-winner. 

Overlooked: In a crime against television One Day at a Time’s Rita Moreno hasn’t been nominated for an Emmy since 1983. This should have been her year.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series


Nominees: Alfie Allen in Game of Thrones; Peter Dinklage in Game of Thrones; Michael Kelly in House of Cards; Chris Sullivan in This Is Us; Nikolaj Coster-Waldau in Game of Thrones; Giancarlo Esposito in Better Call Saul; Jonathan Banks in Better Call Saul.

Who will probably win: Peter Dinklage.

Peter Dinklage has won this award three times for playing Tyrion Lannister. It’s his race to lose, and nothing about her Thrones season 8 performance reads “loser.” Remember, it’s Tyrion who has the last rousing political speech in a show that absolutely loved political speeches. 

Upset: Nikolaj Coster-Waldau. 

Overlooked: Greg The Motha-Fuckin’ Egg. Sorry, I mean Gregory The Motha-Fuckin’ Egg. 

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series 


Nominees: Tony Hale in Veep; Alan Arkin in The Kominsky Method; Stephen Root in Barry; Tony Shalhoub in The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel; Anthony Carrigan in Barry; Henry Winkler in Barry.

Who will probably win: Tony Shalhoub. 

You can make a strong argument for or against any of these nominees. Barry is one of the most powerful comedies on television… but a three-way split between talent may ding everyone’s chances. Alan Arkin is an Oscar winner without an Emmy… but a Chuck Lorre comedy has only ever won this category once this century. This Veep’s victory lap… but Tony Hale hasn’t won this category since 2015 (despite two follow-up nominations)

Shalhoub is the only person in this category without a glaring “but” attached to his claim. Between that fact and his now-infamous Maisel season 2 romper, Shalhoub is looking the strongest out of the competition.

Upset: This is truly anyone’s game, so just be aware Anthony Carrigan would be the dream.  

Overlooked: Did you know that the Fleabag Hot Priest wasn’t nominated for an Emmy? Justice for Andrew Scott.

Outstanding Limited Series 


Nominees: Chernobyl (HBO); Escape at Dannemora (Showtime); Fosse/Verdon (FX); Sharp Objects (HBO); When They See Us (Netflix).

Who will probably win: Chernobyl

Now that the Creative Arts Emmys are finished, we can see which Emmy competitors voters are already leaning toward. It’s Chernobyl who seems like the early favorite, winning cinematography, music competition, editing, and multiple other technical categories. The internet-breaking HBO series is heading into the big game with tons of moment after a buzzy, extremely recent run.  

Upset: When They See Us

Overlooked: Poor Sharp Objects, a gothic drama that understands the chaos of memories better than nearly any other series. Unfortunately, Sharp which premiered over a year ago now — has probably been off the airwaves too long to have much sway with voters. 

Outstanding Television Movie


Nominees: Black Mirror: Bandersnatch (Netflix); Brexit (HBO); Deadwood: The Movie (HBO); King Lear (Prime Video); My Dinner with Hervé (HBO).

Who will probably win: Bandersnatch

Black Mirror has netted this award two years in a row, and is now on the precipice of a third straight victory. While past winners Callister and San Junipero succeeded on the power of their storytelling and world building, choose-your-own-adventure  Bandersnatch doubles down on both those strengths while also adding an unprecedented technical achievement to the mix.

Banderstach asks if its format is the future of television. It’s unlikely the Television Academy will say no. 

Upset: Deadwood: The Movie 

Overlooked: The Sense8 finale special.
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Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited Series or Movie


Nominees: Amy Adams in Sharp Objects; Patricia Arquette in Escape at Dannemora; Aunjanue Ellis in When They See Us; Joey King in The Act; Niecy Nash in When They See Us; Michelle Williams in Fosse/Verdon.

Who will probably win: Michelle Williams. 

When it comes to this award, voters prefer it go to a captivating movie star. Over the last decade, Regina King, Nicole Kidman, Frances McDormand, Jessica Lange, Julianne Moore, and Claire Danes (before she went full Homeland and was best known for films like Romeo + Juliet and The Hours) have all taken home the prize. Oceans 8 actress Sarah Paulson became a movie star after she won this category for American Crime Story. So, it’s logical assume four-time Oscar nominee Michelle Williams will be this year’s winner. 

However, just know fellow movie star Patricia Arquette — enjoying a banner year and a rare two 2019 Emmy nods — is right at Williams’ heels. 

Upset: Joey King

Overlooked: Amy Adams and her sad black sweater.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie


Nominees: Mahershala Ali in True Detective; Benicio del Toro in Escape at Dannemora; Hugh Grant in A Very English Scandal; Jared Harris in Chernobyl; Jharrel Jerome in When They See Us; Sam Rockwell Fosse/Verdon.

Who will probably win: Jharrel Jerome.

Besides Chernobyl, it’s Netflix’s timely, moving, and Ava DuVernay-directed When They See Us that looks particularly strong going into the Emmys. And, no one in the limited series’ cast seems more poised to take home gold than star Jharrel Jerome, the only member of the core-five cast to play his character as both a boy and an adult. 

After all, this category has become especially fond of memorable young talent like 2017 winner Riz Ahmed and 2018 winner Darren Criss over the last few years. Are you ready to crown TV's newest rising star? 

Upset: Jared Harris with all that Chernobyl momentum.  

Overlooked: If Jharrel Jerome loses? Then, Jharrel Jerome. Otherwise, no one in particular. 

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