Our 2018 Oscar Predictions Are Here!

The holidays may be coming to a close, but awards season is just getting started. Over the past few months, a slew of moving, marvelous, and — most importantly for this conversation — critically acclaimed movies came out. You can practically see them flexing for the Academy, as if to say: "Pick me!"

Right now, the approximately 6,000 voting members of the Academy are screening films, pondering artistic merit, and ultimately filling out Oscars ballots with their top five choices in a particular category. On January 23, the ballot numbers will be crunched and the Academy Award nominees will be announced. That's when your real homework of watching every Oscar-nominated movie will begin. You'll have until March 4, the day of the Oscars, to catch up.

For now, you can just get ahead. Here are our predictions for what movies will appear on the Oscars ballot, come January 23. We'll be updating and refining our predictions as the season goes on.

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Frenesy Film Co/Sony/Kobal/REX/Shutterstock
Best Picture

Frontrunners
*Dunkirk
Call Me By Your Name
The Shape of Water
Lady Bird
The Post
Get Out
The Phantom Thread
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Contenders
Good Time
The Florida Project
Mudbound
The Big Sick
Darkest Hour
Best Actress

Frontrunners
Meryl Streep (The Post)
Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)
Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water)
*Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri)
Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)

Contenders
Salma Hayek (Beatriz at Dinner)
Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman)
Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game)
Michelle Williams (All the Money in the World)
Annette Bening (Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool)
Emma Stone (The Battle of the Sexes)
Moviestore/REX/Shutterstock
Best Actor

Frontrunners
*Gary Oldman (The Darkest Hour)
Daniel Day-Lewis (The Phantom Thread)
Timotheé Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
Tom Hanks (The Post)

Contenders
James Franco (The Disaster Artist)
Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.)
Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)
Moviestore/REX/Shutterstock
Best Director

Frontrunners
Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water)
Steven Spielberg (The Post)
*Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk)
Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name)
Greta Gerwig (Lady Bird)

Contenders
Martin McDonagh (Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri)
Jordan Peele (Get Out)
Dee Rees (Mudbound)
Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread)
Best Supporting Actress

Frontrunners
*Allison Janney (I, Tonya)
Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water)
Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)
Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird)
Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)

Contenders
Melissa Leo (Novitiate)
Lesley Manville (The Phantom Thread)
Hong Chau (Downsizing)
Best Supporting Actor

Frontrunners
Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
*Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water)
Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)
Woody Harrelson (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)
Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes)

Contenders
Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)
Ben Mendelsohn (Darkest Hour)
Jason Mitchell (Mudbound)
Best Original Screenplay

Frontrunners
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
*Get Out
Lady Bird
The Big Sick
The Phantom Thread


Contenders
I, Tonya
The Post
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